Pacific
W-L: (23-30) PR = 92.4043Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Utah Valley WAC ( 7-15, 91.5) 2- 3 214 H Utah Valley WAC ( 7-15, 91.5) 13- 7 214 H Utah Valley WAC ( 7-15, 91.5) 6- 9 215 H Utah Valley WAC ( 7-15, 91.5) 3- 2 219 A Wichita State AME (33-26, 94.6) 4- 6 220 A UC Davis BW (27-26, 93.9) 1- 2 221 H Utah Tech WAC (12-10, 93.3) 5- 8 225 H Sacramento State BS (12-18, 94.9) 8- 7 227 A Grand Canyon MW (11-16, 93.1) 4- 5 228 A Grand Canyon MW (11-16, 93.1) 3- 2 301 A Grand Canyon MW (11-16, 93.1) 10-11 303 H Arizona B12 (17-36, 93.8) 11- 5 306 H USC B10 (43-22, 97.5) 7- 4 307 A Nevada MW ( 6-13, 92.9) 5-10 308 A Nevada MW ( 6-13, 92.9) 2-12 311 A Sacramento State BS (12-18, 94.9) 0-10 313 A Sacramento State BS (12-18, 94.9) 5- 3 314 H Sacramento State BS (12-18, 94.9) 7- 6 315 H Sacramento State BS (12-18, 94.9) 6-18 317 H Winthrop BSO ( 6-11, 92.1) 2- 8 320 H Seattle U WC (16-31, 90.7) 6- 4 321 A Jacksonville AS (29-23, 93.6) 2- 1 322 H Seattle U WC (16-31, 90.7) 10-15 324 H UC Davis BW (27-26, 93.9) 8-10 327 H Gonzaga WC (35-19, 95.7) 6- 7 328 H Gonzaga WC (35-19, 95.7) 5-12 329 H Gonzaga WC (35-19, 95.7) 7- 4 402 A Saint Mary's WC (36-27, 94.6) 4-11 403 A Saint Mary's WC (36-27, 94.6) 4- 6 404 A Saint Mary's WC (36-27, 94.6) 1- 2 406 A Cal State Bakersfield BW (24-27, 92.9) 1- 8 410 H Cincinnati B12 (38-21, 96.8) 8-11 411 A Pepperdine WC (21-33, 91.5) 3-10 412 A Pepperdine WC (21-33, 91.5) 9- 4 414 A UC Davis BW (27-26, 93.9) 5- 6 417 H Santa Clara WC (24-30, 93.4) 3- 1 418 H Santa Clara WC (24-30, 93.4) 6- 3 419 H Santa Clara WC (24-30, 93.4) 7- 1 424 A San Francisco WC (27-31, 91.0) 10- 5 425 A San Francisco WC (27-31, 91.0) 3- 5 426 A San Francisco WC (27-31, 91.0) 8- 2 428 H Cal State Bakersfield BW (24-27, 92.9) 4-17 501 H Loyola Marymount WC (14-39, 91.0) 8- 0 502 H Loyola Marymount WC (14-39, 91.0) 15- 9 503 H Loyola Marymount WC (14-39, 91.0) 6- 4 505 H California ACC (29-24, 95.1) 1- 2 508 H San Diego WC (20-30, 92.6) 6- 4 509 H San Diego WC (20-30, 92.6) 18- 6 510 H San Diego WC (20-30, 92.6) 11-11 514 H Oregon State WC (42-16, 96.3) 7- 7 515 H Oregon State WC (42-16, 96.3) 2- 6 516 A Portland WC (24-27, 93.3) 5- 9 521 H San Francisco WC (27-31, 91.0) 8- 4 522 H San Francisco WC (27-31, 91.0) 6-10 522 A Saint Mary's WC (36-27, 94.6) 7-10
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H Utah Valley 2- 3 -1 2 - -2.63
214 H Utah Valley 13- 7 6 2 ++ 4.37
214 H Utah Valley 6- 9 -3 2 -- -4.63
215 H Utah Valley 3- 2 1 2 -0.63
219 A Wichita State 4- 6 -2 -3 0.85
220 A UC Davis 1- 2 -1 -2 1.12
221 H Utah Tech 5- 8 -3 0 - -2.83
225 H Sacramento State 8- 7 1 -2 + 2.79
227 A Grand Canyon 4- 5 -1 -1 0.36
228 A Grand Canyon 3- 2 1 -1 + 2.36
301 A Grand Canyon 10-11 -1 -1 0.36
303 H Arizona 11- 5 6 -1 +++ 6.74
306 H USC 7- 4 3 -4 +++ 7.41
307 A Nevada 5-10 -5 -1 - -3.85
308 A Nevada 2-12 -10 -1 --- -8.85
311 A Sacramento State 0-10 -10 -3 --- -6.86
313 A Sacramento State 5- 3 2 -3 ++ 5.14
314 H Sacramento State 7- 6 1 -2 + 2.79
315 H Sacramento State 6-18 -12 -2 --- -10.21
317 H Winthrop 2- 8 -6 1 --- -7.02
320 H Seattle U 6- 4 2 2 -0.35
321 A Jacksonville 2- 1 1 -2 + 2.91
322 H Seattle U 10-15 -5 2 --- -7.35
324 H UC Davis 8-10 -2 -1 -1.23
327 H Gonzaga 6- 7 -1 -3 1.62
328 H Gonzaga 5-12 -7 -3 -- -4.38
329 H Gonzaga 7- 4 3 -3 ++ 5.62
402 A Saint Mary's 4-11 -7 -3 -- -4.16
403 A Saint Mary's 4- 6 -2 -3 0.84
404 A Saint Mary's 1- 2 -1 -3 1.84
406 A Cal State Bakersfield 1- 8 -7 -1 -- -5.84
410 H Cincinnati 8-11 -3 -4 0.69
411 A Pepperdine 3-10 -7 0 --- -7.26
412 A Pepperdine 9- 4 5 0 ++ 4.74
414 A UC Davis 5- 6 -1 -2 1.12
417 H Santa Clara 3- 1 2 0 + 2.31
418 H Santa Clara 6- 3 3 0 + 3.31
419 H Santa Clara 7- 1 6 0 +++ 6.31
424 A San Francisco 10- 5 5 1 ++ 4.26
425 A San Francisco 3- 5 -2 1 - -2.74
426 A San Francisco 8- 2 6 1 ++ 5.26
428 H Cal State Bakersfield 4-17 -13 0 --- -13.19
501 H Loyola Marymount 8- 0 8 2 ++ 5.89
502 H Loyola Marymount 15- 9 6 2 + 3.89
503 H Loyola Marymount 6- 4 2 2 -0.11
505 H California 1- 2 -1 -2 1.05
508 H San Diego 6- 4 2 0 1.52
509 H San Diego 18- 6 12 0 +++ 11.52
510 H San Diego 11-11 0 0 -0.48
514 H Oregon State 7- 7 0 -3 + 3.20
515 H Oregon State 2- 6 -4 -3 -0.80
516 A Portland 5- 9 -4 -2 - -2.46
521 H San Francisco 8- 4 4 2 1.91
522 H San Francisco 6-10 -4 2 --- -6.09
522 A Saint Mary's 7-10 -3 -3 -0.16
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 308 A Nevada 2-12 -10 -1 --- -8.85 311 A Sacramento State 0-10 -10 -3 --- -6.86 315 H Sacramento State 6-18 -12 -2 --- -10.21 317 H Winthrop 2- 8 -6 1 --- -7.02 322 H Seattle U 10-15 -5 2 --- -7.35 411 A Pepperdine 3-10 -7 0 --- -7.26 428 H Cal State Bakersfield 4-17 -13 0 --- -13.19 522 H San Francisco 6-10 -4 2 --- -6.09 214 H Utah Valley 6- 9 -3 2 -- -4.63 328 H Gonzaga 5-12 -7 -3 -- -4.38 402 A Saint Mary's 4-11 -7 -3 -- -4.16 406 A Cal State Bakersfield 1- 8 -7 -1 -- -5.84 213 H Utah Valley 2- 3 -1 2 - -2.63 221 H Utah Tech 5- 8 -3 0 - -2.83 307 A Nevada 5-10 -5 -1 - -3.85 425 A San Francisco 3- 5 -2 1 - -2.74 516 A Portland 5- 9 -4 -2 - -2.46 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 303 H Arizona 11- 5 6 -1 +++ 6.74 306 H USC 7- 4 3 -4 +++ 7.41 419 H Santa Clara 7- 1 6 0 +++ 6.31 509 H San Diego 18- 6 12 0 +++ 11.52 214 H Utah Valley 13- 7 6 2 ++ 4.37 313 A Sacramento State 5- 3 2 -3 ++ 5.14 329 H Gonzaga 7- 4 3 -3 ++ 5.62 412 A Pepperdine 9- 4 5 0 ++ 4.74 424 A San Francisco 10- 5 5 1 ++ 4.26 426 A San Francisco 8- 2 6 1 ++ 5.26 501 H Loyola Marymount 8- 0 8 2 ++ 5.89 225 H Sacramento State 8- 7 1 -2 + 2.79 228 A Grand Canyon 3- 2 1 -1 + 2.36 314 H Sacramento State 7- 6 1 -2 + 2.79 321 A Jacksonville 2- 1 1 -2 + 2.91 417 H Santa Clara 3- 1 2 0 + 2.31 418 H Santa Clara 6- 3 3 0 + 3.31 502 H Loyola Marymount 15- 9 6 2 + 3.89 514 H Oregon State 7- 7 0 -3 + 3.20 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Utah Valley ( 7-15, 91.5) 2- 3 -8.45 9.98 -0.68 0.53 -2.40
3 H Utah Valley ( 7-15, 91.5) 13- 7 -8.45 9.98 -0.68 0.53 9.78
3 H Utah Valley ( 7-15, 91.5) 6- 9 -8.45 9.98 -0.68 0.53 -2.40
3 H Utah Valley ( 7-15, 91.5) 3- 2 -8.45 9.98 -0.68 0.53 9.78
3 A Wichita State (33-26, 94.6) 4- 6 -5.32 13.11 0.68 0.53 -1.22
3 A UC Davis (27-26, 93.9) 1- 2 -6.05 12.38 0.68 0.53 -1.41
3 H Utah Tech (12-10, 93.3) 5- 8 -6.65 11.78 -0.68 0.53 -1.92
3 H Sacramento Sta (12-18, 94.9) 8- 7 -5.03 13.39 -0.68 0.53 13.38
3 A Grand Canyon (11-16, 93.1) 4- 5 -6.81 11.62 0.68 0.53 -1.61
3 A Grand Canyon (11-16, 93.1) 3- 2 -6.81 11.62 0.68 0.53 12.93
3 A Grand Canyon (11-16, 93.1) 10-11 -6.81 11.62 0.68 0.53 -1.61
3 H Arizona (17-36, 93.8) 11- 5 -6.08 12.35 -0.68 0.53 12.28
3 H USC (43-22, 97.5) 7- 4 -2.41 16.02 -0.68 0.53 16.14
3 A Nevada ( 6-13, 92.9) 5-10 -7.03 11.40 0.68 0.53 -1.67
3 A Nevada ( 6-13, 92.9) 2-12 -7.03 11.40 0.68 0.53 -1.67
3 A Sacramento Sta (12-18, 94.9) 0-10 -5.03 13.39 0.68 0.53 -1.15
3 A Sacramento Sta (12-18, 94.9) 5- 3 -5.03 13.39 0.68 0.53 14.80
3 H Sacramento Sta (12-18, 94.9) 7- 6 -5.03 13.39 -0.68 0.53 13.38
3 H Sacramento Sta (12-18, 94.9) 6-18 -5.03 13.39 -0.68 0.53 -1.50
3 H Winthrop ( 6-11, 92.1) 2- 8 -7.84 10.58 -0.68 0.53 -2.24
3 H Seattle U (16-31, 90.7) 6- 4 -9.17 9.26 -0.68 0.53 9.03
3 A Jacksonville (29-23, 93.6) 2- 1 -6.26 12.17 0.68 0.53 13.51
3 H Seattle U (16-31, 90.7) 10-15 -9.17 9.26 -0.68 0.53 -2.59
3 H UC Davis (27-26, 93.9) 8-10 -6.05 12.38 -0.68 0.53 -1.77
3 H Gonzaga (35-19, 95.7) 6- 7 -4.20 14.23 -0.68 0.53 -1.28
3 H Gonzaga (35-19, 95.7) 5-12 -4.20 14.23 -0.68 0.53 -1.28
3 H Gonzaga (35-19, 95.7) 7- 4 -4.20 14.23 -0.68 0.53 14.25
3 A Saint Mary's (36-27, 94.6) 4-11 -5.33 13.10 0.68 0.53 -1.22
3 A Saint Mary's (36-27, 94.6) 4- 6 -5.33 13.10 0.68 0.53 -1.22
3 A Saint Mary's (36-27, 94.6) 1- 2 -5.33 13.10 0.68 0.53 -1.22
3 A Cal State Bake (24-27, 92.9) 1- 8 -7.01 11.41 0.68 0.53 -1.67
3 H Cincinnati (38-21, 96.8) 8-11 -3.13 15.29 -0.68 0.53 -1.00
3 A Pepperdine (21-33, 91.5) 3-10 -8.43 9.99 0.68 0.53 -2.04
3 A Pepperdine (21-33, 91.5) 9- 4 -8.43 9.99 0.68 0.53 11.22
3 A UC Davis (27-26, 93.9) 5- 6 -6.05 12.38 0.68 0.53 -1.41
3 H Santa Clara (24-30, 93.4) 3- 1 -6.51 11.91 -0.68 0.53 11.82
3 H Santa Clara (24-30, 93.4) 6- 3 -6.51 11.91 -0.68 0.53 11.82
3 H Santa Clara (24-30, 93.4) 7- 1 -6.51 11.91 -0.68 0.53 11.82
3 A San Francisco (27-31, 91.0) 10- 5 -8.91 9.51 0.68 0.53 10.72
3 A San Francisco (27-31, 91.0) 3- 5 -8.91 9.51 0.68 0.53 -2.17
3 A San Francisco (27-31, 91.0) 8- 2 -8.91 9.51 0.68 0.53 10.72
3 H Cal State Bake (24-27, 92.9) 4-17 -7.01 11.41 -0.68 0.53 -2.02
3 H Loyola Marymou (14-39, 91.0) 8- 0 -8.93 9.49 -0.68 0.53 9.27
3 H Loyola Marymou (14-39, 91.0) 15- 9 -8.93 9.49 -0.68 0.53 9.27
3 H Loyola Marymou (14-39, 91.0) 6- 4 -8.93 9.49 -0.68 0.53 9.27
3 H California (29-24, 95.1) 1- 2 -4.77 13.66 -0.68 0.53 -1.43
3 H San Diego (20-30, 92.6) 6- 4 -7.30 11.12 -0.68 0.53 10.99
3 H San Diego (20-30, 92.6) 18- 6 -7.30 11.12 -0.68 0.53 10.99
3 H San Diego (20-30, 92.6) 11-11 -7.30 11.12 -0.68 0.53 0.00
3 H Oregon State (42-16, 96.3) 7- 7 -3.62 14.80 -0.68 0.53 0.00
3 H Oregon State (42-16, 96.3) 2- 6 -3.62 14.80 -0.68 0.53 -1.13
3 A Portland (24-27, 93.3) 5- 9 -6.63 11.79 0.68 0.53 -1.57
3 H San Francisco (27-31, 91.0) 8- 4 -8.91 9.51 -0.68 0.53 9.30
3 H San Francisco (27-31, 91.0) 6-10 -8.91 9.51 -0.68 0.53 -2.52
3 A Saint Mary's (36-27, 94.6) 7-10 -5.33 13.10 0.68 0.53 -1.22
------
216.88
|
winning pts = 266.4460 losing points = -49.5693
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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